La Nina continues - ClubTread Community
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post #1 of (permalink) Old 01-30-2012, 12:32 AM Thread Starter
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La Nina continues

I just did some quick checking and current indications are that La Nina conditions strengthened in January and are probably going to persist into April if not longer

\"Aging ... it beats the alternative\"
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post #2 of (permalink) Old 01-30-2012, 10:16 AM
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Does that mean warmer or colder?
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post #3 of (permalink) Old 01-30-2012, 10:34 AM
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AFAIK, el nina and el nino events do not correlate with temperature. They predict precipitation only.
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post #4 of (permalink) Old 01-30-2012, 10:42 AM
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NOAA site is a good one for info:

http://www.elnino.noaa.gov/lanina_new_faq.html

They have frequent periodic updates for ENSO prediction there.
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post #5 of (permalink) Old 01-31-2012, 12:19 AM Thread Starter
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Quote:
quote:Originally posted by mrultralite

Does that mean warmer or colder?
Depends where you are. US PacNW and BC SW generally see lower temps and higher precip which is why local ski hills get excited by any suggestion of La Nina conditions
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post #6 of (permalink) Old 01-31-2012, 10:27 AM
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''on average La NiƱa winters are warmer than normal in the Southeast and colder than normal in the Northwest. ''

I think its a crock, they were predicting a colder winter,,,, nope. What we do see is predicted by GW ; snow at elevation , then at progressively higher elevations.
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post #7 of (permalink) Old 01-31-2012, 10:49 AM
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Quote:
quote:Originally posted by mrultralite
What we do see is predicted by GW ; snow at elevation , then at progressively higher elevations.
ENSO cycles are too short for that.

Jury's still out on how ENSO cycles themselves would be affected by Global Warming.
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post #8 of (permalink) Old 01-31-2012, 06:49 PM
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Or, you could just flip a coin ...

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manito...a.html?cmp=rss
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post #9 of (permalink) Old 01-31-2012, 07:04 PM
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Here's the Environment Canada Forecast site:

http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/saisons/index_e.html

You can see how the weather prediction evolved over the past two months.

Colder and wetter in SWBC as predicted, but drier and warmer than predicted East and South.
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post #10 of (permalink) Old 01-31-2012, 08:30 PM
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I don't believe any of these theories, I just check my Farmers Almanac.
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